2019, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Lembo, V.; Messori, G.; Graversen, R.; Lucarini, V.
The atmospheric meridional energy transport in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes is mainly accomplished by planetary and synoptic waves. A decomposition into wave components highlights the strong seasonal dependence of the transport, with both the total transport and the contributions from planetary and synoptic waves peaking in winter. In both winter and summer months, poleward transport extremes primarily result from a constructive interference between planetary and synoptic motions. The contribution of the mean meridional circulation is close to climatology. Equatorward transport extremes feature a mean meridional equatorward transport in winter, while the planetary and synoptic modes mostly transport energy poleward. In summer, a systematic destructive interference occurs, with planetary modes mostly transporting energy equatorward and synoptic modes again poleward. This underscores that baroclinic conversion dominates regardless of season in the synoptic wave modes, whereas the planetary waves can be either free or forced, depending on the season.
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082105
2018, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Crespi A.; Brunetti M.; Lentini G.; Maugeri M.
High-resolution monthly precipitation climatologies for Italy are presented. They are based on 1961-1990 precipitation normals obtained from a quality-controlled dataset of 6134 stations covering the Italian territory and part of the Northern neighbouring regions. The climatologies are computed by means of two interpolation methods modelling the precipitation-elevation relationship at a local level, more precisely a local weighted linear regression (LWLR) and a local regression kriging (RK) are performed. For both methods, local optimisations are also applied in order to improve model performance. Model results are compared with those provided by two other widely used interpolation methods which do not consider elevation in modelling precipitation distribution: ordinary kriging and inverse distance weighting. Even though all the four models produce quite reasonable results, LWLR and RK show the best agreement with the observed station normals and leave-one-out-estimated mean absolute errors ranging from 5.1mm (July) to 11mm (November) for both models. Their better performances are even clearer when specific clusters of stations (e.g. high-elevation sites) are considered. Even though LWLR and RK provide very similar results both at station and at grid point level, they show some peculiar features. In particular, LWLR is found to have a better extrapolation ability at high-elevation sites when data density is high enough, while RK is more robust in performing extrapolation over areas with complex orography and scarce data coverage, where LWLR may provide unrealistic precipitation values. However, by means of prediction intervals, LWLR provides a more straightforward approach to quantify the model uncertainty at any point of the study domain, which helps to identify the areas mainly affected by model instability. LWLR and RK high-resolution climatologies exhibit a very heterogeneous and seasonal-dependent precipitation distribution throughout the domain and allow to identify the main climatic zones of Italy.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5217
2016, Abstract in atti di convegno, ENG
Alice Crespi (1), Maurizio Maugeri (1,2), and Michele Brunetti (2)
16th EMS Annual Meeting & 11th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC), Trieste, Italy, 12-16 September 2016EMS Annual Meeting Abstract 132016, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Hatzianastassiou N.; Papadimas C.D.; Lolis C.J.; Bartzokas A.; Levizzani V.; Pnevmatikos J.D.; Katsoulis B.D.
Monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2) are used to examine the year-by-year variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin and its changes over the period 1979-2010. The results show that the mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area has slightly increased from 1979 to 2010 by 1.28mm or by 0.2% (trend not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level). Nevertheless, examining the trends at a local scale, spatial and temporal patterns are revealed, with opposite trends in adjacent areas and increasing precipitation in summer and autumn against almost unchanged or decreasing precipitation in winter and spring, respectively. Inter-decadal changes of precipitation are detected, with precipitation decreasing in the 1980s, then increasing through the late 1990s and finally declining in the 2000s before levelling off since 2007. These changes are significantly anti-correlated (R=-0.57, up to -0.66 in winter) with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, thus confirming the critical role of this large-scale teleconnection for the regional precipitation over the basin.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4665
2016, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Hatzianastassiou N.; Papadimas C.D.; Lolis C.J.; Bartzokas A.; Levizzani V.; Pnevmatikos J.D.; Katsoulis B.D.
The precipitation regime over the Mediterranean basin is investigated for the period 1979-2010 using monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2). The results show that a clear contrast exists between the more rainy northern part of the study region (Southern Europe) and the drier southern area (North Africa, Iberian Peninsula) and between the western sides (rainsides) of the Iberian, Italian and Balkan peninsulas and their eastern sides (rainshadows). The mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area is P = 593 ± 203 mm year-1, but it has a strong spatial variability ranging from 20 mm year-1 (North Africa) to 1500 mm year-1 (Alps). A significant seasonal variability exists, with the early winter and late autumn months (November and December) being the wettest with precipitation amounts larger than 60 mm month-1. The GPCPv2 satellite precipitation data are satisfactorily correlated with rain gauge measurements from 433 stations within the study area (correlation coefficient R = 0.78 for all stations on a yearly basis, with values ranging between 0.72 and 0.82, depending on the season) with a slight overestimation. They also compare well with the higher spatial and temporal resolution Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data, which supports the validity of the present study.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4666
2015, Articolo in rivista, ENG
H. Baars1, T. Kanitz1,a, R. Engelmann1, D. Althausen1, B. Heese1, M. Komppula2, J. Preißler4,b, M. Tesche7,c, A. Ansmann1, U. Wandinger1, J.-H. Lim5, J. Y. Ahn5, I. S. Stachlewska6, V. Amiridis8, E. Marinou8,21, P. Seifert1, J. Hofer1, A. Skupin1, F. Schneider1, S. Bohlmann1, A. Foth1,16, S. Bley1, A. Pfüller2,+, E. Giannakaki2, H. Lihavainen3, Y. Viisanen3, R. K. Hooda3,12, S. Pereira4, D. Bortoli4, F. Wagner4,20, I. Mattis20, L. Janicka6, K. M. Markowicz6, P. Achtert7,d, P. Artaxo9, T. Pauliquevis10, R. A. F. Souza11, V. P. Sharma12, P. G. van Zyl13, J. P. Beukes13, J. Y. Sun14, E. G. Rohwer15, R. Deng17, R. E. Mamouri18, and F. Zamorano19
A global vertically resolved aerosol data set covering more than 10 years of observations at more than 20 measurement sites distributed from 63° N to 52° S and 72° W to 124° E has been achieved within the Raman and polarization lidar network PollyNET. This network consists of portable, remote-controlled multiwavelength-polarization-Raman lidars (Polly) for automated and continuous 24/7 observations of clouds and aerosols. PollyNET is an independent, voluntary, and scientific network. All Polly lidars feature a standardized instrument design and apply unified calibration, quality control, and data analysis. The observations are processed in near-real time without manual intervention, and are presented online at http://polly.tropos.de. The paper gives an overview of the observations on four continents and two research vessels obtained with eight Polly systems. The specific aerosol types at these locations (mineral dust, smoke, dust-smoke and other dusty mixtures, urban haze, and volcanic ash) are identified by their Ångström exponent, lidar ratio, and depolarization ratio. The vertical aerosol distribution at the PollyNET locations is discussed on the basis of more than 55 000 automatically retrieved 30 min particle backscatter coefficient profiles at 532 nm. A seasonal analysis of measurements at selected sites revealed typical and extraordinary aerosol conditions as well as seasonal differences. These studies show the potential of PollyNET to support the establishment of a global aerosol climatology that covers the entire troposphere.
2013, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Elmi G .[1], Sacchi E. [2], Zuppi G. [3], Cerasuolo M. [1], Allais E. [4]
Applied geochemistry 34 (SI), pp. 53–642012, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Avolio, Elenio; Orlandi, Fabio; Bellecci, Carlo; Bellecci, Carlo; Fornaciari, Marco; Federico, Stefano
In phenological studies, plant development and its relationship with meteorological conditions are considered in order to investigate the influence of climatic changes on the characteristics of many crop species. In this work, the impact of climate change on the flowering of the olive tree (Olea europaea L.) in Calabria, southern Italy, has been studied. Olive is one of the most important plant species in the Mediterranean area and, at the same time, Calabria is one of the most representative regions of this area, both geographically and climatically. The work is divided into two main research activities. First, the behaviour of olive tree in Calabria and the influence of temperature on phenological phases of this crop are investigated. An aerobiological method is used to determine the olive flowering dates through the analysis of pollen data collected in three experimental fields for an 11-year study period (1999-2009). Second, the study of climate change in Calabria at high spatial and temporal resolution is performed. A dynamical downscaling procedure is applied for the regionalization of large-scale climate analysis derived from general circulation models for two representative climatic periods (1981-2000 and 2081-2100); the A2 IPCC scenario is used for future climate projections. The final part of this work is the integration of the results of the two research activities to predict the olive flowering variation for the future climatic conditions. In agreement with our previous works, we found a significant correlation between the phenological phases and temperature. For the twenty-first century, an advance of pollen season in Calabria of about 9 days, on average, is expected for each degree of temperature rise. From phenological model results, on the basis of future climate predictions over Calabria, an anticipation of maximum olive flowering between 10 and 34 days is expected, depending on the area. The results of this work are useful for adaptation and mitigation strategies, and for making concrete assessments about biological and environmental changes. © 2011 Springer-Verlag.
2012, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Brunetti M., G. Lentini, M. Maugeri, T. Nanni, C. Simolo, J. Spinoni
Physics and chemistry of the earth (2002) 40-41, pp. 9–222010, Articolo in rivista
Simolo C., M. Brunetti, M. Maugeri, and T. Nanni
International journal of climatology 30, pp. 1564–15762010, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Boehm R.; P. D. Jones; J. Hiebel; D. Frank; M. Brunetti; M. Maugeri
Instrumental temperature recording in the Greater Alpine Region (GAR) began in the year 1760. Prior to the 1850-1870 period, after which screens of different types protected the instruments, thermometers were insufficiently sheltered from direct sunlight so were normally placed on north-facing walls or windows. It is likely that temperatures recorded in the summer half of the year were biased warm and those in the winter half biased cold, with the summer effect dominating. Because the changeover to screens often occurred at similar times, often coincident with the formation of National Meteorological Services (NMSs) in the GAR, it has been difficult to determine the scale of the problem, as all neighbour sites were likely to be similarly affected. This paper uses simultaneous measurements taken for eight recent years at the old and modern site at Kremsmünster, Austria to assess the issue. The temperature differences between the two locations (screened and unscreened) have caused a change in the diurnal cycle, which depends on the time of year. Starting from this specific empirical evidence from the only still existing and active early instrumental measuring site in the region, we developed three correction models for orientations NW through N to NE. Using the orientation angle of the buildings derived from metadata in the station histories of the other early instrumental sites in the region (sites across the GAR in the range from NE to NW) different adjustments to the diurnal cycle are developed for each location. The effect on the 32 sites across the GAR varies due to different formulae being used by NMSs to calculate monthly means from the two or more observations made at each site each day. These formulae also vary with time, so considerable amounts of additional metadata have had to be collected to apply the adjustments across the whole network. Overall, the results indicate that summer (April to September) average temperatures are cooled by about 0.4o C before 1850, with winters (October to March) staying much the same. The effects on monthly temperature averages are largest in June (a cooling from 0.21o to 0.93o C, depending on location) to a slight warming (up to 0.3o C) at some sites in February. In addition to revising the temperature evolution during the past centuries, the results have important implications for the calibration of proxy climatic data in the region (such as tree ring indices and documentary data such as grape harvest dates). A difference series across the 32 sites in the GAR indicates that summers since 1760 have warmed by about 1o C less than winters.
2010, Articolo in rivista, ENG
V. Levizzani; F. Pinelli; M. Pasqui; S. Melani; A. G. Laing; R. E. Carbone
Thermal infrared (IR, 10.512.5 micron) images from the Meteosat Visible and InfraRed Imager (MVIRI) of cold cloud episodes (cloud top brightness temperature < 241 K) are used as a proxy of precipitating clouds to derive a warm-season (MayAugust) climatology of their coherency, duration, span, and propagation speed over Europe and the Mediterranean. The analysis focuses over the 3054N, 15W40E domain in MayAugust 19962005. Harmonic analysis using discrete Fourier transforms is applied together with a statistical analysis and an investigation of the diurnal cycle. The objective of the study is to make available a set of results on the propagation dynamics of the cloud systems with the aim of assisting numerical modellers in improving summer convection parameterization. The zonal propagation of cold cloud systems is accompanied by a weak meridional component confined to narrow latitude belts. The persistence of cold clouds over the area evidences the role of orography, the Pyrenees, the Alps, the Balkans and Anatolia. A diurnal oscillation is found with a maximum marking the initiation of convection in the lee of the mountains and shifting from about 1400 UTC at 40E to 1800 UTC at 0 deg. A moderate eastward propagation of the frequency maximum from all mountain chains across the domain exists and the diurnal maxima are completely suppressed west of 5W. The mean power spectrum of the cold cloud frequency distribution evidences a period of one day all over Europe disappearing over the ocean (west of 10W). Other maxima are found in correspondence of 3 to 7 day synoptic activity. A median zonal phase speed of 16.1 m/s is found for all events >=1000 km and >=20 h and a full set of results divided by year and recurrence categories is also presented. The maxima of the diurnal signal are in phase with the presence of elevated terrain and with land masses.
2009, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Federico S. (1)(2); Avolio E. (1)(2); Pasqualoni L. (2); De Leo L. (1); Sempreviva A.M. (1)(3); Bellecci, C. (4)(2)
This paper presents first exploratory results and analyses performed on a 30-year (1978-2007) homogeneous precipitation database that has been created for the Calabria peninsula, southern Italy. The database consists of complete time series of daily values of precipitation from 88 stations distributed over the region. The database temporal resolution is one day while its spatial resolution is about 10 km. Calabria offers an interesting scenario for mesoclimatic studies in spatial and temporal rainfall variability. The region is located in the Central Mediterranean Basin, which has a strong seasonal variability that mirrors in large precipitation differences among seasons. The complex orography of the region leads to different exposures of the territory to the rain-bearing air masses and large differences in rainfall can occur in few tens of kilometers. Different kinds of Mediterranean storms are important for Calabria: a) storms originating in the lee of the Alps; b) storms that enter the Basin or develop in the western Mediterranean (Gulf of Lyon, Rhone valley, Iberia, Gibraltar); c) storms from northern Africa; d) storms moving over the central Mediterranean from Balkans and eastern Europe. Again, their interaction with local orography determines complex rainfall patterns and variability. In this paper, the maps of average values of precipitation, rain frequency, rain rate, persistence of rainfall and length of dry periods are presented. Precipitation spatial structure shows that the orography and the sea have a major role, while the seasonal dependence of rainfall unequivocally reveals the influence of the synoptic scale conditions. A large number of cast-studies of heavy precipitation events have been investigated in the past and several of them refer to the east side of Calabria. The results shown here confirm this issue in a climatological sense: despite the fact that yearly precipitation is larger on the west side of the peninsula, most intense rainstorms affect mainly the east side, which is favorably exposed to these storms. The current database represents a foundation for further investigations.
2009, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Michaelides, S., V. Levizzani, E. N. Anagnostou, P. Bauer, T. Kasparis, and J. E. Lane
This review paper deals with four aspects of precipitation: measurement, remote sensing, climatology and modeling. The measurement of precipitation is summarized in terms of the instruments that count and measure drop sizes (defined as disdrometers) and the instruments that measure an average quantity proportional to the integrated volume of an ensemble of raindrops (these instruments are normally called rain gauges). Remote sensing of precipitation is accomplished with ground based radar and from satellite retrievals and these two approaches are separately discussed. The climatology of precipitation has evolved through the years from the traditional rain gauge data analyses to the more sophisticated data bases that result from a coalescence of data and information on precipitation that is available from several sources into amalgamated products. Recently, rain observations from both ground and space have been assimilated into regional and global numerical weather prediction models aiming at improved moisture analysis and better forecasts of extreme weather events. The current status and the main outstanding issues related to precipitation forecasting are discussed, providing a basic structure for research coordination aimed at the improvement of modeling, observation and data assimilation applicable to global and regional scales.
2009, Contributo in atti di convegno, ENG
Schroeder K., Gasparini G.P., Borghini M., Ribotti A.
CIESM, Malta, 27-30/05/2009CIESM workshop monographs, pp. 51–562009, Articolo in rivista, ENG
Hiebl J., I. Auer, R. Boehm, W. Schoener, M. Maugeri, G. Lentini, J. Spinoni, M Brunetti, T. Nanni, M. Percec Tadic, Z. Bihari, M. Dolinar, G. Mueller-Westermeier.
Meteorologische Zeitschrift (Berl.) 18, pp. 507–5302009, Articolo in rivista
Brunetti M., G. Lentini, M. Maugeri, T. Nanni, C. simolo, J. Spinoni
2009, Articolo in rivista
Brunetti M., G. Lentini, M. Maugeri, T. Nanni, C. simolo, J. Spinoni
2009, Articolo in rivista
Sanchez-Lorenzo A., J. Calbò, M. Brunetti, C. Deser
2009, Articolo in rivista
Tartaglione N., M. Maugeri M.,F. Dalan, M. Brunetti, T. Nanni, A. Speranza
Theoretical and applied climatology 95, pp. 183–196